Your hypothesis is incorrect. If you have the lens, look into the mount when zooming. Or look at the patent for the RF 15-35/2.8. The block diagram published by Canon shows the lens groups in their position with the lens at 35mm. When zoomed out to 15mm, the rear element is only 14mm from the sensor (when zooming from 35mm to 15mm, the front groups move forward and the rear groups move back).The RF 15-35mm f2.8 is a curious lens. Comparing the RF 14-35/f4, RF 15-35/2.8 and the EF 16-35/2.8III, it can be hypothesised that the RF15-35/2.8 may well have been an unreleased EF design that was retrofitted to the RF mount. The block chart certainly looks like there’s a big gap between the rear element and the sensor, akin to an EF lens.
The MFT charts also support this theory, optically it’s not much better that the ef lens. Optically, it’s well eclipsed by the RF 14-35mm f4. Which has a rear element butted right up to the sensor and far better MFT charts.
The RF 14-35/4 is a different design in that the position of the rear element is fixed. It’s 15mm from the sensor, so it’s actually slightly further away from the sensor than the 15-35/2.8 at the wide end, also invalidating your hypothesis about the distance from the rear element to the sensor driving the better IQ of the 14-35/4.
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